Thomas Wagner
The Strategist
The long view, patient, analytical, playing several moves ahead.
Thomas Wagner earns The Strategist through temporal discipline, not conviction alone. At Nighthead Capital he maps positions across entry, hold, and exit with equal rigor, treating the sell decision as analytically demanding as the buy. He has a pattern of identifying secular shifts before they harden into consensus, and he insists on downside architecture at the moment of commitment. The result is a leader who converts foresight into precise, staged action.
“I think at our core we're value investors. We're looking for situations where we believe in virtually any scenario we have no or a very very low risk of impairment, meaning we won't lose money. That's the goal.”
“Watch out for secular change. It's the killer. You can't be on the wrong side of secular change. You've got to have a thesis that looks out if you're making a long term investment.”
“Buying is half of it. You can buy right, but I've seen lots and lots of examples of buying right where it looks good for a period of time and ultimately fails because you didn't sell right.”
Masters in Business: “Thomas Wagner on Sports Investing With Tom Brady”
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