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OTA LEADERSHIP INDEX

Ed Yardeni

ARCHETYPE

The Navigator

Judgement in the fog, money, risk and the call others cannot make.

Ed Yardeni reads as The Navigator because he charts macro conditions through empirical sequencing rather than ideological precommitment. His data-first inversion of standard forecasting practice is itself a navigational method. Where peers anchor to theory, Yardeni reads live signals, adjusts his yield-curve recession model in real time, and steers market expectations toward a sustained 'Roaring Twenties' horizon with conviction that is calibrated and continuously tested against evidence.

IN THEIR WORDS, WHY NAVIGATOR

I think that they first start out with theories and then look for data to support it. I start with the data and then come to the conclusion rather than the other way around.

EXPLAINING SUPERIOR FORECASTING METHODOLOGY

My model is inverted yield curve, financial crisis, credit crunch, recession. I don't see that happening. The economy is demonstrating that there's no call for a recession.

ARGUING AGAINST CONSENSUS RECESSION CALLS

I've been promoting the idea of the roaring twenty twenties scenario. If this is the roaring twenties, the decade still has a ways to go — and those could be the biggest of the roar.

LONG-TERM BULL MARKET OUTLOOK

MASTERS IN BUSINESS

Masters in Business: “Ed Yardeni on Long-Term Bull Market”

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Ed's full six-dimension Leadership Index profile is held pending their validation. The archetype shown is the OTA analyst-rated read. How we read a leader →

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